Defense Acquisition Research Journal Issue 95

January 2021

TABLE 17. BOOTSTRAP REGRESSION III

R Square

Variable

IU1

IU2 IU3 PEOU1 PEOU2 PEOU3 PEOU4 PU1

PU2 PU3 PU4

Number of Datapoints

1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000

Mean

0.5035 0.4958 0.4816 0.5066 0.4952 0.5217 0.5016 0.5064 0.5018 0.4944 0.5035 0.6150

Median

0.5132 0.4926 0.4652 0.5103 0.5026 0.5277 0.4935 0.5071 0.4971 0.4974 0.5057 0.6226

Standard Deviation

0.2886 0.2922 0.2931 0.2853 0.2889 0.2893 0.2867 0.2801 0.2862 0.2846 0.2917 0.1553

Variance

0.0833 0.0854 0.0859 0.0814 0.0840 0.0837 0.0822 0.0785 0.0819 0.0810 0.0851 2.41%

Coefficient of Variation

57.32% 58.94% 60.86% 56.32% 58.54% 55.46% 57.17% 55.32% 57.04% 57.57% 57.93% 0.2525

Maximum

1.0000 0.9974 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 0.9712

Minimum

0.0021 0.0004 0.0004 0.0009 0.0005 0.0051 0.0003 0.0020 0.0009 0.0009 0.0005 0.1263

Range

0.9979 0.9970 0.9996 0.9991 0.9995 0.9949 0.9997 0.9980 0.9991 0.9991 0.9995 0.8449

Skewness

-0.0422 0.0362 0.0921 -0.0761 -0.0067 -0.0855 0.0071 0.0015 0.0005 0.0199 -0.0284 -0.2432

Kurtosis

-1.2087 -1.2455 -1.2177 -1.1780 -1.2168 -1.2010 -1.1436 -1.1199 -1.1846 -1.1535 -1.2117 -0.2463

25% Percentile 0.2408 0.2426 0.2211 0.2619 0.2352 0.2718 0.2533 0.2696 0.2630 0.2519 0.2550 0.5091

75% Percentile 0.7496 0.7566 0.7372 0.7596 0.7483 0.7652 0.7395 0.7330 0.7448 0.7325 0.7575 72.50% Error Precision at 95% 3.56% 3.66% 3.78% 3.50% 3.63% 3.44% 3.55% 3.43% 3.54% 3.57% 3.60% 0.0157 5% Percentile 0.0463 0.0547 0.0409 0.0463 0.0443 0.0653 0.0459 0.0568 0.0501 0.0465 0.0430 0.3515

10% Percentile 0.1017 0.0985 0.0854 0.0986 0.0931 0.1071 0.1045 0.1205 0.1030 0.0985 0.0906 0.4041

20% Percentile 0.1984 0.1979 0.1840 0.2091 0.1917 0.2191 0.2021 0.2212 0.2137 0.2060 0.1933 0.4786

30% Percentile 0.3000 0.2837 0.2786 0.3223 0.2888 0.3305 0.3096 0.3198 0.3107 0.2929 0.2997 0.5361

40% Percentile 0.4165 0.3776 0.3701 0.4166 0.3913 0.4321 0.4187 0.4094 0.3993 0.3930 0.4010 0.5781

50% Percentile 0.5129 0.4914 0.4645 0.5098 0.5024 0.5260 0.4929 0.5062 0.4946 0.4962 0.5043 0.6224

60% Percentile 0.6109 0.5961 0.5733 0.6227 0.5969 0.6353 0.5875 0.6018 0.6012 0.5886 0.6142 0.6661

70% Percentile 0.7032 0.6981 0.6784 0.7089 0.6980 0.7279 0.6947 0.6931 0.7002 0.6800 0.7015 0.7013

80% Percentile 0.7940 0.8051 0.7959 0.7999 0.7913 0.8209 0.7956 0.7899 0.7930 0.7898 0.8053 0.7545

90% Percentile 0.8957 0.9014 0.8895 0.8876 0.8964 0.9119 0.9032 0.8988 0.9020 0.8868 0.9035 0.8156

95% Percentile 0.9418 0.9455 0.9498 0.9368 0.9448 0.9543 0.9536 0.9498 0.9419 0.9447 0.9570 0.8594

99% Percentile 0.9915 0.9894 0.9920 0.9912 0.9875 0.9914 0.9905 0.9923 0.9955 0.9914 0.9904 0.9344 Certainty Value 0.01 0.80% 1.40% 0.80% 1.10% 1.10% 0.40% 1.40% 1.20% 0.80% 1.30% 1.00% Certainty Value 0.05 5.52% 4.71% 6.32% 5.02% 5.52% 3.81% 5.22% 4.21% 4.81% 5.02% 5.52%

Certainty Value 0.1

9.83% 10.13% 11.94% 10.03% 10.73% 9.33% 9.53% 7.92% 9.83% 10.23% 10.93%

31

Defense ARJ, January 2021, Vol. 28 No. 1 : 2-39